Assessing the effect of agricultural export values on foreign exchange rate in Tanzania

A dissertation submitted to Mzumbe University as a partial fulfilment of the requirements for the award of the Master's Degree of of Science in Applied Economics and Business (MAEB) of Mzumbe University

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Autore principale: Mlay, Noel
Natura: Tesi
Lingua:inglese
Pubblicazione: Mzumbe University 2026
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Accesso online:https://scholar.mzumbe.ac.tz/handle/123456789/2007
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author Mlay, Noel
author_facet Mlay, Noel
author_sort Mlay, Noel
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description A dissertation submitted to Mzumbe University as a partial fulfilment of the requirements for the award of the Master's Degree of of Science in Applied Economics and Business (MAEB) of Mzumbe University
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institution Mzumbe University
language English
publishDate 2026
publisher Mzumbe University
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spelling ir-:123456789-20072026-06-24T18:50:43Z Assessing the effect of agricultural export values on foreign exchange rate in Tanzania Mlay, Noel Agricultural Foreign exchange Crops exports A dissertation submitted to Mzumbe University as a partial fulfilment of the requirements for the award of the Master's Degree of of Science in Applied Economics and Business (MAEB) of Mzumbe University Agricultural sector in Tanzania employs over 65% of the Tanzania population (NBS, 2017 and contributes to foreign exchange earnings through crops exports. This study aimed at examining the effect of agricultural export values to Tanzanian foreign exchange rate and assessed if there is long-run relationship between agricultural exports value and foreign exchange rate using secondary data on total exports, agricultural exports, imports and foreign exchange data from 1989/1990 to 2018/2019. The Regression analysis, Unit Root Test, Johansen Test, Vector Autoregression and Granger causality test were used for analysis. The study concludes that, both total imports and total exports have significant influence on Tanzania exchange rate. Furthermore, it was observed that, there is a causality between total agricultural exports and foreign exchange rate in Tanzania whereby, foreign exchange rate causes agricultural exports and not otherwise. Also, the causality between total imports and total exchange rate is that total import cause’s foreign exchange rate in Tanzania. Regarding the long run relationship between agricultural exports value and foreign exchange rate in Tanzania, it was observed that there is long-run relationship that exists between agricultural export value and foreign exchange rate in Tanzania. The conclusions obtained in this study are very useful for policy making especially on use of foreign exchange rate to stimulate exports. For the Tanzania case, it was observed that devaluation will increase agricultural exports and not total exports. Also, regarding to imports, it was observed that, the total imports have negative impact on Tanzania Shilling hence effort to reduce imports pressure should be implemented to reduce importation. Private 2026-05-19T10:56:47Z 2020 Thesis APA https://scholar.mzumbe.ac.tz/handle/123456789/2007 en application/pdf Mzumbe University
spellingShingle Agricultural
Foreign exchange
Crops exports
Mlay, Noel
Assessing the effect of agricultural export values on foreign exchange rate in Tanzania
title Assessing the effect of agricultural export values on foreign exchange rate in Tanzania
title_full Assessing the effect of agricultural export values on foreign exchange rate in Tanzania
title_fullStr Assessing the effect of agricultural export values on foreign exchange rate in Tanzania
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the effect of agricultural export values on foreign exchange rate in Tanzania
title_short Assessing the effect of agricultural export values on foreign exchange rate in Tanzania
title_sort assessing the effect of agricultural export values on foreign exchange rate in tanzania
topic Agricultural
Foreign exchange
Crops exports
url https://scholar.mzumbe.ac.tz/handle/123456789/2007
work_keys_str_mv AT mlaynoel assessingtheeffectofagriculturalexportvaluesonforeignexchangerateintanzania