000			03041nam a2200181 4500
020			_a9780762312818 _cTZS 75,967.50
040			_aMUL _beng. _eAACR
082			_a658.40355 ADV
245			_a Advances in business and management forecasting _c/ edited by Kenneth D. Lawrence, Michael Geurts
260			_aOxford : _bJAI Press, _cc2006.
300			_axii, 287 p. : _bill. ; _c24 cm.
440			_aAdvances in business and management forecasting
504			_aIncludes references.
505			_aLIST OF CONTRIBUTORS ix EDITORIAL BOARD xi PART A: FORECASTING AND THE SUPPLY CHAIN FORECASTING IN SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT Kenneth D. Lawrence, Sheila M. Lawrence and Ronald K. Klimberg 3 (10) EXTRACTING FORECASTS FROM ADVANCE ORDERS Frenck Waage 13 (14) INVENTORY-SHIPMENT RATIO TIME SERIES MODELS FOR DURABLE AND NON-DURABLE PRODUCTS Supriya Mitra 27 (30) PART B: FORECASTING AND FINANCIAL APPLICATIONS AN APPLICATION OF CONFIRMATORY FACTOR ANALYSIS TO THE A PRIORI CLASSIFICATION OF FINANCIAL RATIOS Shaw K. Chen and Alan D. Olinsky 57 (20) BANK RATING CHANGE PREDICTIONS: ALTERNATIVE FORECASTING MODELS David T. Cadden and Vincent Driscoll 77 (16) FORECASTING SECURITY RETURNS: THE USE OF HETEROGENEOUS EXPECTATIONS Rebecca Abraham and Charles W. Harrington 93 (26) PART C: SALES FORECASTING COMBINING MOVING AVERAGES WITH EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING TO PRODUCE MORE STABLE SALES FORECASTS Tej S. Dhakar, Charles P. Schmidt and David M. Miller 119 (14) IMPROVED EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING WITH APPLICATIONS TO SALES FORECASTING Tej S. Dhakar, Charles P. Schmidt and David M. Miller 133 (6) USING FLOW-THROUGH AND DIFFUSION MODELS TO FORECAST NEW PRODUCT SALES Michael D. Geurts and David B. Whitlark 139 (6) AN APPLICATION OF A REPEAT PURCHASE DIFFUSION MODEL TO THE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY Franklin J. Carter, Carol M. Motley, Alphonso O. Ogbuehi and Jacqueline A. Williams 145 (30) FORECASTING PRODUCT SALES WITH CONJOINT ANALYSIS DATA David B. Whitlark 175 (8) IMPROVING SALES FORECASTS BY TESTING UNDERLYING HYPOTHESES ABOUT CONSUMER BEHAVIOR: A PROPOSED QUALITATIVE METHOD Eric D. DeRosia, Glenn L. Christensen and David B. Whitlark 183 (32) PART D: FORECASTING METHODS AND ANALYSIS FORECASTING SALES OF COMPARABLE UNITS WITH DATA ENVELOPMENT ANALYSIS (DEA) Ronald K. Klimberg, Shelia M. Lawrence and Kenneth D. Lawrence 201 DATA MINING RELIABILITY: MODEL-BUILDING WITH MARS AND NEURAL NETWORKS Rod J. Lievano and Eric S. Kyper 215 (28) SELECTING FORECASTING INTERVALS TO INCREASE USEFULNESS AND ACCURACY Michael D. Geurts 243 (4) FORECASTING SIMULTANEOUS BRAND LIFE CYCLE TRAJECTORIES Frenck Waage 247 (18) A TYPOLOGY OF PSYCHOLOGICAL BIASES IN FORECASTING ANALYSIS Paul Dishman 265 (12) A FORECAST COMBINATION METHODOLOGY FOR DEMAND FORECASTING J. Gaylord May and Joanne M. Sulek 277
546			_aeng.
650			_aBusiness forecasting
942			_cBK
999			_c5431 _d5431