TY  - BOOK
TI  -  Advances in business and management forecasting 
SN  - 9780762312818
U1  - 658.40355 ADV 
PY  - 2006///
CY  - Oxford : 
PB  - JAI Press, 
KW  - Business forecasting
N1  - Includes references; LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS		ix	
EDITORIAL BOARD		xi	
PART A: FORECASTING AND THE SUPPLY CHAIN	
	FORECASTING IN SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT
	
	Kenneth D. Lawrence, Sheila M. Lawrence and Ronald K. Klimberg
		3	(10)
	EXTRACTING FORECASTS FROM ADVANCE ORDERS
	
	Frenck Waage
		13	(14)
	INVENTORY-SHIPMENT RATIO TIME SERIES MODELS FOR DURABLE AND NON-DURABLE PRODUCTS
	
	Supriya Mitra
		27	(30)
PART B: FORECASTING AND FINANCIAL APPLICATIONS	
	AN APPLICATION OF CONFIRMATORY FACTOR ANALYSIS TO THE A PRIORI CLASSIFICATION OF FINANCIAL RATIOS
	
	Shaw K. Chen and Alan D. Olinsky
		57	(20)
	BANK RATING CHANGE PREDICTIONS: ALTERNATIVE FORECASTING MODELS
	
	David T. Cadden and Vincent Driscoll
		77	(16)
	FORECASTING SECURITY RETURNS: THE USE OF HETEROGENEOUS EXPECTATIONS
	
	Rebecca Abraham and Charles W. Harrington
		93	(26)
PART C: SALES FORECASTING	
	COMBINING MOVING AVERAGES WITH EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING TO PRODUCE MORE STABLE SALES FORECASTS
	
	Tej S. Dhakar, Charles P. Schmidt and David M. Miller
		119	(14)
	IMPROVED EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING WITH APPLICATIONS TO SALES FORECASTING
	
	Tej S. Dhakar, Charles P. Schmidt and David M. Miller
		133	(6)
	USING FLOW-THROUGH AND DIFFUSION MODELS TO FORECAST NEW PRODUCT SALES
	
	Michael D. Geurts and David B. Whitlark
		139	(6)
	AN APPLICATION OF A REPEAT PURCHASE DIFFUSION MODEL TO THE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY
	
	Franklin J. Carter, Carol M. Motley, Alphonso O. Ogbuehi and Jacqueline A. Williams
		145	(30)
	FORECASTING PRODUCT SALES WITH CONJOINT ANALYSIS DATA
	
	David B. Whitlark
		175	(8)
	IMPROVING SALES FORECASTS BY TESTING UNDERLYING HYPOTHESES ABOUT CONSUMER BEHAVIOR: A PROPOSED QUALITATIVE METHOD
	
	Eric D. DeRosia, Glenn L. Christensen and David B. Whitlark
		183	(32)
PART D: FORECASTING METHODS AND ANALYSIS	
	FORECASTING SALES OF COMPARABLE UNITS WITH DATA ENVELOPMENT ANALYSIS (DEA)
	
	Ronald K. Klimberg, Shelia M. Lawrence and Kenneth D. Lawrence 201
	
	DATA MINING RELIABILITY: MODEL-BUILDING WITH MARS AND NEURAL NETWORKS
	
	Rod J. Lievano and Eric S. Kyper
		215	(28)
	SELECTING FORECASTING INTERVALS TO INCREASE USEFULNESS AND ACCURACY
	
	Michael D. Geurts
		243	(4)
	FORECASTING SIMULTANEOUS BRAND LIFE CYCLE TRAJECTORIES
	
	Frenck Waage
		247	(18)
	A TYPOLOGY OF PSYCHOLOGICAL BIASES IN FORECASTING ANALYSIS
	
	Paul Dishman
		265	(12)
	A FORECAST COMBINATION METHODOLOGY FOR DEMAND FORECASTING
	
	J. Gaylord May and Joanne M. Sulek
		277
ER  -