Advances in business and management forecasting / edited by Kenneth D. Lawrence, Michael Geurts - Oxford : JAI Press, c2006. - xii, 287 p. : ill. ; 24 cm. - Advances in business and management forecasting .

Includes references.

LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS ix
EDITORIAL BOARD xi
PART A: FORECASTING AND THE SUPPLY CHAIN
FORECASTING IN SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT

Kenneth D. Lawrence, Sheila M. Lawrence and Ronald K. Klimberg
3 (10)
EXTRACTING FORECASTS FROM ADVANCE ORDERS

Frenck Waage
13 (14)
INVENTORY-SHIPMENT RATIO TIME SERIES MODELS FOR DURABLE AND NON-DURABLE PRODUCTS

Supriya Mitra
27 (30)
PART B: FORECASTING AND FINANCIAL APPLICATIONS
AN APPLICATION OF CONFIRMATORY FACTOR ANALYSIS TO THE A PRIORI CLASSIFICATION OF FINANCIAL RATIOS

Shaw K. Chen and Alan D. Olinsky
57 (20)
BANK RATING CHANGE PREDICTIONS: ALTERNATIVE FORECASTING MODELS

David T. Cadden and Vincent Driscoll
77 (16)
FORECASTING SECURITY RETURNS: THE USE OF HETEROGENEOUS EXPECTATIONS

Rebecca Abraham and Charles W. Harrington
93 (26)
PART C: SALES FORECASTING
COMBINING MOVING AVERAGES WITH EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING TO PRODUCE MORE STABLE SALES FORECASTS

Tej S. Dhakar, Charles P. Schmidt and David M. Miller
119 (14)
IMPROVED EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING WITH APPLICATIONS TO SALES FORECASTING

Tej S. Dhakar, Charles P. Schmidt and David M. Miller
133 (6)
USING FLOW-THROUGH AND DIFFUSION MODELS TO FORECAST NEW PRODUCT SALES

Michael D. Geurts and David B. Whitlark
139 (6)
AN APPLICATION OF A REPEAT PURCHASE DIFFUSION MODEL TO THE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY

Franklin J. Carter, Carol M. Motley, Alphonso O. Ogbuehi and Jacqueline A. Williams
145 (30)
FORECASTING PRODUCT SALES WITH CONJOINT ANALYSIS DATA

David B. Whitlark
175 (8)
IMPROVING SALES FORECASTS BY TESTING UNDERLYING HYPOTHESES ABOUT CONSUMER BEHAVIOR: A PROPOSED QUALITATIVE METHOD

Eric D. DeRosia, Glenn L. Christensen and David B. Whitlark
183 (32)
PART D: FORECASTING METHODS AND ANALYSIS
FORECASTING SALES OF COMPARABLE UNITS WITH DATA ENVELOPMENT ANALYSIS (DEA)

Ronald K. Klimberg, Shelia M. Lawrence and Kenneth D. Lawrence 201

DATA MINING RELIABILITY: MODEL-BUILDING WITH MARS AND NEURAL NETWORKS

Rod J. Lievano and Eric S. Kyper
215 (28)
SELECTING FORECASTING INTERVALS TO INCREASE USEFULNESS AND ACCURACY

Michael D. Geurts
243 (4)
FORECASTING SIMULTANEOUS BRAND LIFE CYCLE TRAJECTORIES

Frenck Waage
247 (18)
A TYPOLOGY OF PSYCHOLOGICAL BIASES IN FORECASTING ANALYSIS

Paul Dishman
265 (12)
A FORECAST COMBINATION METHODOLOGY FOR DEMAND FORECASTING

J. Gaylord May and Joanne M. Sulek
277


eng.

9780762312818 TZS 75,967.50


Business forecasting

658.40355 ADV