Advances in business and management forecasting / edited by Kenneth D. Lawrence, Michael Geurts

Material type: Text

TextSeries: Advances in business and management forecastingPublication details: Oxford : JAI Press, c2006.Description: xii, 287 p. : ill. ; 24 cmISBN:

9780762312818

Subject(s):

Business forecasting

DDC classification:

658.40355 ADV

Contents:

LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS ix EDITORIAL BOARD xi PART A: FORECASTING AND THE SUPPLY CHAIN FORECASTING IN SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT Kenneth D. Lawrence, Sheila M. Lawrence and Ronald K. Klimberg 3 (10) EXTRACTING FORECASTS FROM ADVANCE ORDERS Frenck Waage 13 (14) INVENTORY-SHIPMENT RATIO TIME SERIES MODELS FOR DURABLE AND NON-DURABLE PRODUCTS Supriya Mitra 27 (30) PART B: FORECASTING AND FINANCIAL APPLICATIONS AN APPLICATION OF CONFIRMATORY FACTOR ANALYSIS TO THE A PRIORI CLASSIFICATION OF FINANCIAL RATIOS Shaw K. Chen and Alan D. Olinsky 57 (20) BANK RATING CHANGE PREDICTIONS: ALTERNATIVE FORECASTING MODELS David T. Cadden and Vincent Driscoll 77 (16) FORECASTING SECURITY RETURNS: THE USE OF HETEROGENEOUS EXPECTATIONS Rebecca Abraham and Charles W. Harrington 93 (26) PART C: SALES FORECASTING COMBINING MOVING AVERAGES WITH EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING TO PRODUCE MORE STABLE SALES FORECASTS Tej S. Dhakar, Charles P. Schmidt and David M. Miller 119 (14) IMPROVED EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING WITH APPLICATIONS TO SALES FORECASTING Tej S. Dhakar, Charles P. Schmidt and David M. Miller 133 (6) USING FLOW-THROUGH AND DIFFUSION MODELS TO FORECAST NEW PRODUCT SALES Michael D. Geurts and David B. Whitlark 139 (6) AN APPLICATION OF A REPEAT PURCHASE DIFFUSION MODEL TO THE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY Franklin J. Carter, Carol M. Motley, Alphonso O. Ogbuehi and Jacqueline A. Williams 145 (30) FORECASTING PRODUCT SALES WITH CONJOINT ANALYSIS DATA David B. Whitlark 175 (8) IMPROVING SALES FORECASTS BY TESTING UNDERLYING HYPOTHESES ABOUT CONSUMER BEHAVIOR: A PROPOSED QUALITATIVE METHOD Eric D. DeRosia, Glenn L. Christensen and David B. Whitlark 183 (32) PART D: FORECASTING METHODS AND ANALYSIS FORECASTING SALES OF COMPARABLE UNITS WITH DATA ENVELOPMENT ANALYSIS (DEA) Ronald K. Klimberg, Shelia M. Lawrence and Kenneth D. Lawrence 201 DATA MINING RELIABILITY: MODEL-BUILDING WITH MARS AND NEURAL NETWORKS Rod J. Lievano and Eric S. Kyper 215 (28) SELECTING FORECASTING INTERVALS TO INCREASE USEFULNESS AND ACCURACY Michael D. Geurts 243 (4) FORECASTING SIMULTANEOUS BRAND LIFE CYCLE TRAJECTORIES Frenck Waage 247 (18) A TYPOLOGY OF PSYCHOLOGICAL BIASES IN FORECASTING ANALYSIS Paul Dishman 265 (12) A FORECAST COMBINATION METHODOLOGY FOR DEMAND FORECASTING J. Gaylord May and Joanne M. Sulek 277

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Item type	Current library	Home library	Call number	Copy number	Status	Date due	Barcode	Item holds
Book	Mzumbe University Main Campus Library	Mzumbe University Main Campus Library	658.40355 ADV (Browse shelf(Opens below))	1	Available		0079427

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Includes references.

LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS ix
EDITORIAL BOARD xi
PART A: FORECASTING AND THE SUPPLY CHAIN
FORECASTING IN SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT

Kenneth D. Lawrence, Sheila M. Lawrence and Ronald K. Klimberg
3 (10)
EXTRACTING FORECASTS FROM ADVANCE ORDERS

Frenck Waage
13 (14)
INVENTORY-SHIPMENT RATIO TIME SERIES MODELS FOR DURABLE AND NON-DURABLE PRODUCTS

Supriya Mitra
27 (30)
PART B: FORECASTING AND FINANCIAL APPLICATIONS
AN APPLICATION OF CONFIRMATORY FACTOR ANALYSIS TO THE A PRIORI CLASSIFICATION OF FINANCIAL RATIOS

Shaw K. Chen and Alan D. Olinsky
57 (20)
BANK RATING CHANGE PREDICTIONS: ALTERNATIVE FORECASTING MODELS

David T. Cadden and Vincent Driscoll
77 (16)
FORECASTING SECURITY RETURNS: THE USE OF HETEROGENEOUS EXPECTATIONS

Rebecca Abraham and Charles W. Harrington
93 (26)
PART C: SALES FORECASTING
COMBINING MOVING AVERAGES WITH EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING TO PRODUCE MORE STABLE SALES FORECASTS

Tej S. Dhakar, Charles P. Schmidt and David M. Miller
119 (14)
IMPROVED EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING WITH APPLICATIONS TO SALES FORECASTING

Tej S. Dhakar, Charles P. Schmidt and David M. Miller
133 (6)
USING FLOW-THROUGH AND DIFFUSION MODELS TO FORECAST NEW PRODUCT SALES

Michael D. Geurts and David B. Whitlark
139 (6)
AN APPLICATION OF A REPEAT PURCHASE DIFFUSION MODEL TO THE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY

Franklin J. Carter, Carol M. Motley, Alphonso O. Ogbuehi and Jacqueline A. Williams
145 (30)
FORECASTING PRODUCT SALES WITH CONJOINT ANALYSIS DATA

David B. Whitlark
175 (8)
IMPROVING SALES FORECASTS BY TESTING UNDERLYING HYPOTHESES ABOUT CONSUMER BEHAVIOR: A PROPOSED QUALITATIVE METHOD

Eric D. DeRosia, Glenn L. Christensen and David B. Whitlark
183 (32)
PART D: FORECASTING METHODS AND ANALYSIS
FORECASTING SALES OF COMPARABLE UNITS WITH DATA ENVELOPMENT ANALYSIS (DEA)

Ronald K. Klimberg, Shelia M. Lawrence and Kenneth D. Lawrence 201

DATA MINING RELIABILITY: MODEL-BUILDING WITH MARS AND NEURAL NETWORKS

Rod J. Lievano and Eric S. Kyper
215 (28)
SELECTING FORECASTING INTERVALS TO INCREASE USEFULNESS AND ACCURACY

Michael D. Geurts
243 (4)
FORECASTING SIMULTANEOUS BRAND LIFE CYCLE TRAJECTORIES

Frenck Waage
247 (18)
A TYPOLOGY OF PSYCHOLOGICAL BIASES IN FORECASTING ANALYSIS

Paul Dishman
265 (12)
A FORECAST COMBINATION METHODOLOGY FOR DEMAND FORECASTING

J. Gaylord May and Joanne M. Sulek
277

eng.

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